Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Rasmussen: Majority oppose ObamaCare; comPost: No they don't!

Obviously, people will believe whatever polls they want.  And polls are crap.

Especially the comPost’s poll:

My first clue that the new WaPo/ABC poll had big problems in its sampling came from question 38 of the raw data released by ABC last night, the generic Congressional ballot.  Most polls have that within the margin of error; both Rasmussen and Pew have it at a dead heat.  The WaPo/ABC survey has Democrats winning that matchup by twelve points, 51%/39%.



The sampling [of the comPost poll] comprises 33% Democrats, as opposed to only 20% Republicans.  That thirteen-point spread is two points larger than their September polling, at 32%/21%.  More tellingly, it’s significantly larger than their Election Day sample, which included 35% Democrats to 26% Republicans for a gap of nine points, about a third smaller than the gap in this poll.  Of course, that’s when they were more concerned about accuracy over political points of view. …

As for Rasmussen’s poll?

Now that the Senate Finance Committee has passed its version of health care reform, 42% of voters nationwide favor the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats. That’s down two points from a week ago and down four from the week before.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% are opposed to the plan. …

ABC News and the Washington comPost, oversampling Dems by 13% at a percentage of Dems much higher than exists in the electorate (or even registered voter world)?  Nope…no liberal media bias!

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